Aegeri vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
FCA
49%
23%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCS
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
EMM
2 - 3
FCA
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 1
IBA
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TAV
0 - 0
FCA
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 5
GOL
34%
24%
43%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 0
LUZ
53%
22%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
3 - 1
BAL
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 0
LUZ
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 3
AAR
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |