Aegeri vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
HER
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAR
7 - 2
FCA
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
ESC
47%
23%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RUS
3 - 4
FCA
39%
24%
38%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 0
LSS
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
IBA
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
IBA
2 - 0
ESC
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LSS
0 - 1
IBA
54%
21%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
IBA
2 - 2
EMM
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
4 - 2
IBA
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |