Aegeri vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 3
BUO
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 0
FCA
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 1
SCH
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LSS
2 - 0
FCA
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FCA
3 - 0
OLT
23%
23%
55%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
IBA
1 - 0
SAR
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BUO
1 - 2
IBA
71%
18%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
IBA
0 - 0
GOL
33%
24%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
IBA
1 - 1
ACS
48%
24%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 0
IBA
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |