Aegeri vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
42.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
EMM
3 - 2
FCA
69%
17%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
DIE
4 - 2
FCA
87%
9%
5%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
FCA
1 - 5
FRE
14%
16%
70%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCM
12%
15%
72%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +3 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 1
OLT
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HER
1 - 2
WIL
67%
17%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
LUZ
2 - 1
HER
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
ESC
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
HER
33%
20%
47%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FCP
5 - 0
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |