Aegeri vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
56.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
SAR
22%
21%
56%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
IBA
4 - 3
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 0
FCA
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 2
ASC
33%
24%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
FCA
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
FCS
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
LUZ
2 - 3
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 0
HER
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HER
3 - 2
RUS
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 2
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |