Aegeri vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
46.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAR
7 - 2
FCA
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
ESC
47%
23%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RUS
3 - 4
FCA
39%
24%
38%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 0
LSS
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ZUG
8 - 1
FCA
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 3
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 3
LOC
13%
17%
70%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EMM
1 - 3
HER
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
FCB
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VED
1 - 4
HER
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |