Aegeri vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 2
FCA
51%
23%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 0
EMM
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
IBA
4 - 1
FCA
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 2
TAV
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 1
FCA
56%
22%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
GOL
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ESC
0 - 2
HER
25%
24%
52%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
HER
4 - 2
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 3
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |