Aegeri vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
SAR
22%
21%
56%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
IBA
4 - 3
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 0
FCA
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 2
ASC
33%
24%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 1
IBA
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
FCS
42%
24%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 1
GUN
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 5
FCS
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 2
BUO
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |