Aegeri vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
EMM
2 - 3
FCA
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 1
IBA
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TAV
0 - 0
FCA
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FCA
3 - 2
LSS
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
GOL
4 - 1
FCA
57%
22%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 2
GOL
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 1
FCS
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 0
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 3
FCM
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
4 - 2
FCS
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |