Aegeri vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
43.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
FCA
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 0
LUZ
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 2
GUN
58%
21%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BUO
1 - 0
FCA
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 3
ESC
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 2
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SAR
5 - 1
ASC
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
0 - 0
RUS
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ASC
0 - 4
FCS
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 2
ASC
52%
22%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |