Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FCV
0 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 1
SIO
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
6 - 0
FCA
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GCZ
3 - 1
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
23%
24%
52%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ZUR
1 - 2
STG
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
5 - 1
ZUR
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SIO
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
YOB
3 - 0
ZUR
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |