Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SIO
2 - 2
FCA
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 2
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
THU
0 - 0
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 3
STG
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FCA
3 - 2
YOB
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
ZUR
3 - 2
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 3
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STG
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 1
ZUR
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GCZ
1 - 3
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |