Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
70%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 2
FCA
53%
24%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ETO
0 - 2
FCA
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
RHN
0 - 8
FCA
9%
16%
75%
|
59 | 10 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
WOH
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
DEL
2 - 2
FCA
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GCZ
3 - 0
ZUR
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 2
ZUR
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 2
YOB
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ZUR
0 - 0
THU
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCG
0 - 5
ZUR
6%
14%
80%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | 0 |