Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 4
NEX
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCA
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
BEL
4 - 1
FCA
53%
24%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 3
YOB
19%
23%
57%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 1
VEN
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCL
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
VEN
0 - 3
ZUR
37%
24%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SIO
3 - 3
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |