Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
FCV
0 - 2
FCA
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
FCA
3 - 1
SIO
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCL
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCA
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
NEX
1 - 2
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
THU
1 - 1
ZUR
24%
26%
51%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
STG
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 0
ZUR
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |