Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 0
FCL
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
THU
2 - 5
FCA
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
FCA
2 - 2
GCZ
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCA
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
BJK
2 - 0
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ZUR
5 - 1
YOB
54%
24%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
SIO
0 - 5
ZUR
28%
26%
47%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BJK
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
ZUR
3 - 1
STG
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |