Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
NEX
1 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
FCA
0 - 2
YOB
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
FCA
1 - 2
GCZ
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
YOB
3 - 0
ZUR
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
GCZ
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
FCL
2 - 1
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
HSV
0 - 0
ZUR
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |