Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
THU
2 - 1
FCA
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LAU
0 - 1
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
FCA
0 - 3
STG
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
GCZ
3 - 1
FCA
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCL
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
WAN
1 - 4
ZUR
8%
15%
77%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
SIO
2 - 2
ZUR
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ZUR
5 - 0
THU
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |