Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCA
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 2
SIO
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCA
77%
15%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
ZUR
0 - 0
THU
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
STG
2 - 2
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 3
FCL
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 2
ZUR
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 1
SIO
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |