Aarau vs Zurich analysis

Aarau Zurich
65 ELO 85
-0.9% Tilt -6.2%
760º General ELO ranking 270º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
16.7%
Aarau
22.3%
Draw
61%
Zurich

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
Aarau
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.9%
Win probability
Zurich
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+8%
-6%
Zurich

ELO progression

Aarau
Zurich
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2007
BAS
Basel
2 - 0
Aarau
FCA
82%
13%
6%
66 85 19 0
28 Apr. 2007
FCA
Aarau
0 - 2
Sion
SIO
39%
27%
34%
67 74 7 -1
22 Apr. 2007
FCL
Luzern
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
55%
25%
21%
67 70 3 0
18 Apr. 2007
FCA
Aarau
1 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
21%
24%
55%
67 83 16 0
14 Apr. 2007
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
77%
15%
7%
67 84 17 0

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2007
ZUR
Zurich
0 - 0
Thun
THU
69%
19%
12%
84 74 10 0
29 Apr. 2007
STG
St. Gallen
2 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
84 77 7 0
26 Apr. 2007
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 3
Luzern
FCL
73%
17%
11%
85 71 14 -1
22 Apr. 2007
BAS
Basel
4 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
52%
23%
25%
85 85 0 0
18 Apr. 2007
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 1
Sion
SIO
71%
18%
11%
85 74 11 0