Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
53.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 0
FCA
44%
25%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ZUR
3 - 0
FCA
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
FCA
0 - 2
SCH
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
FCA
0 - 2
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 4
ZUR
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ZUR
3 - 0
FCA
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ZUR
1 - 1
YVE
75%
16%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 2
ZUR
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ZUR
1 - 1
YOB
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |