Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCA
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
STG
1 - 1
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
30%
25%
46%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ZUR
1 - 4
YOB
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
ZUR
1 - 0
STG
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ZUR
1 - 0
THU
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
YVE
0 - 3
ZUR
20%
23%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |