Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 1
FCA
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
BAS
7 - 2
FCA
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 1
YVE
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
YOB
0 - 0
FCA
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
BIF
2 - 0
ZUR
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
YVE
0 - 2
ZUR
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ZUR
5 - 0
SCH
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
ZUR
4 - 1
WAR
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
YOB
3 - 1
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |