Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 2
FCA
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 3
GCZ
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 2
NEX
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
STG
3 - 3
FCA
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
STG
4 - 5
ZUR
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ZUR
0 - 5
YOB
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ZUR
0 - 0
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 0
SCH
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |