Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
FCA
0 - 0
NEX
47%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
THU
0 - 0
FCA
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FCA
1 - 0
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
THU
0 - 1
ZUR
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
STG
1 - 2
ZUR
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ZUR
2 - 0
GCZ
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
SCH
2 - 1
ZUR
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |