Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
DEL
2 - 1
FCA
42%
25%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
FCA
1 - 1
STG
34%
26%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 3
GCZ
21%
22%
57%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
ZUR
0 - 4
BAS
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
ZUR
0 - 1
THU
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
WIL
0 - 1
ZUR
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 3
ZUR
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
ASV
3 - 0
ZUR
54%
26%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |