Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCA
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
SER
1 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
FCA
4 - 2
DEL
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
STG
4 - 1
FCA
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LUG
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 2
LAU
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
NEW
3 - 1
ZUR
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
FCL
0 - 1
ZUR
31%
27%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 0
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |