Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
SIO
2 - 3
FCA
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1997 |
FCA
2 - 3
NEX
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
FCA
1 - 1
SIO
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCA
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
ZUR
0 - 0
NEX
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1997 |
ZUR
0 - 0
SIO
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
SIO
3 - 1
ZUR
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
NEX
3 - 1
ZUR
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCA
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |