Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1995 |
FCA
6 - 1
HBT
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1995 |
BEE
3 - 3
FCA
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
FCA
2 - 2
TRO
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1995 |
BAS
0 - 1
FCA
55%
24%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
FCA
4 - 1
LAU
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1995 |
ZUR
1 - 5
KRI
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
YVE
2 - 1
ZUR
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
ZUR
5 - 0
SOL
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1995 |
SER
0 - 0
ZUR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
ZUR
0 - 0
WIN
75%
17%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |