Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1994 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1994 |
FCA
1 - 1
GCZ
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1994 |
FCA
4 - 3
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
FCL
1 - 3
FCA
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1994 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LAU
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1994 |
ZUR
2 - 2
SCH
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
NEX
1 - 0
ZUR
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1994 |
ZUR
2 - 0
YVE
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |