Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
KRI
0 - 1
FCA
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1993 |
FCA
3 - 1
YVE
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
YOB
2 - 0
FCA
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
FCA
0 - 2
SIO
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1993 |
SER
4 - 2
ZUR
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1993 |
SIO
3 - 1
ZUR
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
ZUR
0 - 1
KRI
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
YVE
1 - 1
ZUR
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
ZUR
1 - 2
YOB
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |