Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
FCW
0 - 1
FCA
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 0
FCA
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
FCA
0 - 2
SIO
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
LOC
0 - 1
FCA
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
FCA
0 - 1
STG
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
ZUR
3 - 1
LAC
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
NEX
4 - 0
ZUR
60%
20%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
BAS
5 - 3
ZUR
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
ZUR
2 - 0
LAU
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
YOB
1 - 1
ZUR
53%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |