Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
YOB
2 - 0
FCA
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
FCA
2 - 0
SIO
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
FCG
0 - 1
FCA
27%
27%
45%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
FCA
2 - 2
CRV
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
FCA
0 - 1
NEX
39%
25%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
ZUR
2 - 0
VEV
69%
18%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
BAD
0 - 2
ZUR
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
SER
1 - 2
ZUR
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
ZUR
2 - 3
LAU
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
FCG
1 - 8
ZUR
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | +1 |