Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
CHI
2 - 1
FCA
37%
27%
35%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
FCA
2 - 2
VEV
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
FCA
2 - 0
STG
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
BEL
0 - 3
FCA
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
FCA
2 - 2
GCZ
27%
23%
50%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
ZUR
0 - 1
GCZ
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
STG
0 - 0
ZUR
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
ZUR
6 - 0
BEL
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
ZUR
4 - 2
LAU
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
NOB
0 - 3
ZUR
17%
27%
57%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |