Aarau vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
7º
4º
66
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
LAU
4 - 1
FCA
42%
24%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
THU
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SCA
0 - 3
FCA
51%
21%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 0
LUZ
64%
19%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 0
FCA
18%
18%
64%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 0
STA
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 2
YVE
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 0
BUL
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
YVE
3 - 1
NEX
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
STA
5 - 0
YVE
39%
26%
36%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |