Aarau vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
FCV
2 - 1
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 1
LAU
33%
23%
44%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 2
THU
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
STA
0 - 2
FCA
36%
25%
40%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 0
KRI
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
YVE
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
YVE
1 - 0
THU
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
YVE
2 - 2
ZUR
21%
21%
58%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
YVE
3 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 0
YVE
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |