Aarau vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCA
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCA
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
STG
1 - 1
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
YVE
2 - 1
STG
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
GCZ
1 - 1
YVE
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
YVE
0 - 1
THU
31%
27%
43%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
YVE
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
YVE
0 - 3
ZUR
20%
23%
58%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |