Aarau vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
GCZ
6 - 0
FCA
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
NEX
1 - 5
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
FCA
1 - 2
LAU
26%
25%
50%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
SIO
0 - 1
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
YVE
1 - 1
STG
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
LUG
3 - 0
YVE
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
YVE
2 - 1
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
YVE
2 - 3
GCZ
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
FCL
2 - 0
YVE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |