Aarau vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
FCA
4 - 1
SIO
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 3
FCA
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
DEL
2 - 1
FCA
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 1
ETO
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
YVE
3 - 1
DEL
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
ETO
2 - 1
YVE
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
YVE
5 - 1
YOB
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
YVE
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
RSZ
2 - 1
YVE
11%
20%
70%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |