Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
FCA
2 - 2
KRI
43%
24%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FCA
3 - 1
NEX
39%
25%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 2
FCA
29%
23%
48%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
WIN
2 - 1
STA
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
WIN
1 - 1
KRI
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
THU
0 - 1
WIN
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
WIN
2 - 2
SCH
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
WIN
4 - 0
FCV
34%
23%
44%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |