Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
FCA
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 3
BIE
62%
20%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 0
FCA
34%
25%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 1
WOH
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
FCA
4 - 2
ALT
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 2
WIN
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
WIN
0 - 0
WOH
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 2
WIL
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
FCL
3 - 0
WIN
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 4
GCZ
22%
22%
56%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |