Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 4
GCZ
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
FCA
18%
24%
58%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 2
FCA
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCV
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 0
STG
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 0
WOH
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 1
WIN
37%
25%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
WIL
4 - 0
WIN
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 0
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WIN
4 - 1
BIE
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |