Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 3
FCA
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
FCV
5 - 3
FCA
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
LOC
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
WOH
0 - 1
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 0
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
WIN
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 1
WOH
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 0
FCV
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 5
WIN
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +2 |