Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 1
LOC
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
FCA
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
WOH
1 - 3
FCA
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 0
LUG
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FCV
3 - 2
FCA
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 2
STG
21%
21%
58%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 0
BEL
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LOC
1 - 1
WIN
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
4 - 1
KRI
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
DEL
0 - 1
WIN
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |