Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FCA
0 - 0
WIL
51%
21%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
FCA
5 - 1
FCK
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
YFJ
3 - 3
FCA
14%
16%
70%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
FCA
5 - 1
KRI
44%
22%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 4
FCA
28%
24%
49%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FCA
0 - 0
WIL
51%
21%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
WIL
0 - 0
SCA
36%
24%
40%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
ZUR
1 - 0
WIL
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 2
SCH
56%
23%
22%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
FCV
3 - 1
WIL
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |