Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
GCZ
5 - 0
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
STG
4 - 1
FCA
71%
17%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2020 |
ZUR
5 - 1
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 1
THU
32%
23%
45%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
FCA
5 - 0
DOR
89%
9%
3%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 1
LAU
9%
18%
74%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCV
16%
19%
66%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
STG
4 - 1
WIL
82%
13%
6%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 4
ZUR
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
WIL
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |