Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 3
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
LEM
1 - 0
FCA
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 1
FCV
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 0
STG
12%
16%
72%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 1
TUG
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 0
WIL
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 1
SCH
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |