Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
SCH
4 - 0
FCA
41%
24%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 1
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 2
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 3
WOH
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
ZUR
3 - 2
FCA
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 4
NEX
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LEM
0 - 1
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 1
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 3
SER
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 4
WOH
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |