Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
WOH
1 - 4
FCA
18%
24%
58%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 1
FCA
17%
20%
64%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 1
LEM
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 1
SCH
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 4
WIL
26%
26%
49%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 0
LEM
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
WIN
3 - 0
WIL
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WOH
1 - 3
WIL
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |