Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 0
SCH
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCA
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LAC
0 - 3
FCA
20%
21%
59%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LEM
0 - 0
FCA
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 0
WIN
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
SCH
4 - 1
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 1
WIL
39%
25%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 3
LAU
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
4 - 1
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |