Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
KRI
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LAU
2 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
FCV
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BAV
1 - 3
FCA
16%
20%
65%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
STA
3 - 0
FCA
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 2
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LOC
1 - 1
WIL
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TUG
2 - 1
WIL
27%
23%
50%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WIL
2 - 1
KRI
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
SER
2 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |